Public evidence record

Endeverafter

0xef460652c993d011442553faaa81b13a924cf872

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.2%936 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.8%$105,934 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.91%990 pre-event fills

Settlement record

378-337-9Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−32.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 936 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.1% to -2.2%

936 closed positions · 3,227 taker fills · $105,934 deployed

Typical position $100 (median) · closing line value measured over 990 pre-event fills · 7% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

3 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$261

Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot

Valentin Vacherot

entry 49¢ · +105now 44¢ · +130−5.4 pts

Open

value$202

Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils

Arthur Fils

entry 51¢ · -104now 52¢ · -106+0.5 pts

Open

value$198

Swiss Indoors Basel: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges

Jan-Lennard Struff

entry 53¢ · -113now 53¢ · -111−0.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer399 closed155–144–4-5.3%
Tennis217 closed93–83–5-5.4%
Football87 closed45–27-7.1%
Basketball86 closed34–33-6.2%
Baseball81 closed35–27-5.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Heat vs. Warriors · Spread Warriors (-9.5)basketball · spreads	Heat	lost	70¢ · -233	$466	−384
2026-11-04	Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machactennis · moneyline	Tomas Machac	lost	39¢ · +156	$103	−79
2026-11-04	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tientennis · moneyline	Luca Van Assche	won	40¢ · +150	$77	+110
2026-11-03	Combo: No — Will Lille OSC win on 2026-11-03? + Yes — Will LASK Linz win on 2026-11-03?soccer · combo	—	won