Public evidence record

truthtrader

0xf0928232c5ffaf98607b8eae6d621b9861d04eba

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+2.2%571 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+1.4%$135,180 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.48%351 pre-event fills

Settlement record

303-234-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−25.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 571 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.1% to +8.6%

571 closed positions · 978 taker fills · $135,180 deployed

Typical position $170 (median) · closing line value measured over 351 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$291

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs

Inner Circle Esports

entry 57¢ · -133now 56¢ · -130−0.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball225 closed118–98-0.7%
Esports186 closed96–72-2.6%
Basketball113 closed63–47+1.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · moneyline	Milwaukee Brewers	won	66¢ · -194	$509	+249
2026-09-20	LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffsesports · moneyline	Team Liquid	won	77¢ · -335	$840	+237
2026-09-20	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffsesports · moneyline	Vitality	won	69¢ · -223	$589	+251
2026-09-20	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffsesports · moneyline	Vitality