Public evidence record

truthtrader

0xf0928232c5ffaf98607b8eae6d621b9861d04eba

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+1.8%661 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+0.9%$161,221 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.34%602 pre-event fills

Settlement record

357-266-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−24.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 661 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.1% to +7.8%

661 closed positions · 1,122 taker fills · $161,221 deployed

Typical position $193 (median) · closing line value measured over 602 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$388

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?

Yes

entry 82¢ · -455now 99¢+17.4 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports252 closed134–96-3.0%
Baseball241 closed126–106-1.3%
Basketball118 closed68–47+2.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-05	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stageesports · moneyline	GenOne	lost	77¢ · -335	$711	−711
2026-11-04	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	55¢ · -122	$400	—
2026-11-04	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	63¢ · -170	$301	—
2026-11-04	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffsesports · moneyline	GamerLegion	won