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Public evidence record
0xf0de06dad6368098c6aff79105ff275720788048
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 24, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-5.6%136 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-3.7%$210,378 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.32%400 pre-event fillsSettlement record
75-58Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−21.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 136 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -14.0% to +2.8%
136 closed positions · 673 taker fills · $210,378 deployed
Typical position $1,008 (median) · closing line value measured over 400 pre-event fills · 4% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 84 sports · 16 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty · Spread Atlanta Dream (-2.5)basketball · spreads | Atlanta Dream | won | 59¢ · -144 | $367 | +225 |
| 2026-09-23 | Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty · Spread Atlanta Dream (-3.5)basketball · spreads | Atlanta Dream | won | 56¢ · -125 | $511 | +389 |
| 2026-09-23 | Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty · Spread Atlanta Dream (-1.5)basketball · spreads | Atlanta Dream | won | 43¢ · +133 | $514 | +650 |
| 2026-09-23 |
| Atlanta Dream |
| won |
| 45¢ · +122 |
| $822 |
| +956 |
| 2026-09-22 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever · Spread Indiana Fever (-2.5)basketball · spreads | Indiana Fever | won | 54¢ · -117 | $1,999 | +1,619 |
| 2026-09-21 | Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty · Spread Atlanta Dream (-2.5)basketball · spreads | New York Liberty | lost | 55¢ · -124 | $1,005 | −1,005 |
| 2026-09-08 | Hungary vs. Japanmoneyline · Non-sports | Japan | lost | 55¢ · -121 | $1,226 | −1,225 |
| 2026-09-07 | Belgium vs. Australiamoneyline · Non-sports | Australia | lost | 58¢ · -136 | $4,085 | −4,085 |
| 2026-09-05 | Germany vs. Japanmoneyline · Non-sports | Germany | won | 65¢ · -184 | $1,221 | +630 |
| 2026-09-05 | Mali vs. Spainmoneyline · Non-sports | Spain | lost | 98¢ · -5163 | $500 | −296 |
| 2026-09-05 | Australia vs. Puerto Ricomoneyline · Non-sports | Australia | won | 97¢ · -3126 | $801 | +23 |
| 2026-08-30 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire · Spread Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)basketball · spreads | Golden State Valkyries | won | 54¢ · -115 | $1,126 | +930 |
| 2026-08-30 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dreambasketball · moneyline | Minnesota Lynx | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $613 | −613 |
| 2026-08-30 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dream · Spread Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)basketball · spreads | Minnesota Lynx | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $1,022 | −1,022 |
| 2026-08-30 | Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-8.5)basketball · spreads | Phoenix Mercury | won | 53¢ · -113 | $2,661 | +2,245 |
| 2026-08-29 | Chicago Sky vs. New York Libertybasketball · moneyline | New York Liberty | won | 80¢ · -407 | $202 | +47 |
| 2026-08-29 | Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)basketball · spreads | Las Vegas Aces | won | 59¢ · -146 | $1,632 | +1,063 |
| 2026-08-29 | Toronto Tempo vs. Las Vegas Acesbasketball · moneyline | Las Vegas Aces | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $301 | +25 |
| 2026-08-29 | Washington Mystics vs. Los Angeles Sparks · Spread Washington Mystics (-4.5)basketball · spreads | Washington Mystics | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $2,762 | −2,762 |
| 2026-08-29 | Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-12.5)basketball · spreads | Las Vegas Aces | won | 56¢ · -128 | $2,471 | +1,842 |
| 2026-08-28 | Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Feverbasketball · moneyline | Indiana Fever | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $100 | +6 |
| 2026-08-28 | Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)basketball · spreads | Washington Mystics | won | 60¢ · -147 | $6,942 | +4,482 |
| 2026-08-27 | Saudi Arabia vs. Japanmoneyline · Non-sports | Japan | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $100 | +3 |
| 2026-08-27 | Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)basketball · spreads | Phoenix Mercury | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $1,028 | −102 |
| 2026-08-27 | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Libertybasketball · moneyline | New York Liberty | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $3,063 | −3,063 |
| 2026-08-27 | Qatar vs. China · Spread China (-15.5)spreads · Non-sports | China | won | 54¢ · -117 | $9,439 | +7,648 |
| 2026-08-27 | Qatar vs. Chinamoneyline · Non-sports | China | won | 90¢ · -900 | $703 | +74 |
| 2026-08-27 | Finland vs. Sweden · Spread Finland (-4.5)spreads · Non-sports | Finland | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $1,020 | −1,020 |
| 2026-08-27 | Qatar vs. China: O/U 166.5totals · Non-sports | Under | won | 60¢ · -150 | $102 | +65 |
| 2026-08-26 | Spread: Seattle Storm (-5.5)basketball · spreads | Seattle Storm | won | 58¢ · -136 | $5,311 | +3,715 |
| 2026-08-26 | Spread: Seattle Storm (-4.5)basketball · spreads | Seattle Storm | won | 61¢ · -156 | $1,223 | +744 |
| 2026-08-26 | Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercurybasketball · moneyline | Washington Mystics | won | 55¢ · -120 | $6,137 | +4,858 |
| 2026-08-26 | Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sunbasketball · moneyline | Chicago Sky | lost | 70¢ · -233 | $914 | −604 |
| 2026-08-25 | Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun · Spread Chicago Sky (-4.5)basketball · spreads | Chicago Sky | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $4,286 | −4,286 |
| 2026-08-25 | Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun · Spread Chicago Sky (-5.5)basketball · spreads | Chicago Sky | lost | 55¢ · -121 | $409 | −409 |
| 2026-08-24 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx · Spread Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)basketball · spreads | Golden State Valkyries | won | 58¢ · -136 | $6,127 | +4,275 |
| 2026-08-24 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx · Spread Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)basketball · spreads | Minnesota Lynx | lost | 54¢ · -118 | $2,353 | −2,353 |
| 2026-08-23 | Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybasketball · moneyline | Indiana Fever | won | 60¢ · -150 | $6,698 | +4,247 |
| 2026-08-23 | Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)basketball · spreads | Washington Mystics | won | 58¢ · -140 | $2,348 | +1,598 |
| 2026-08-23 | Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)basketball · spreads | Washington Mystics | won | 54¢ · -116 | $205 | +167 |
| 2026-08-23 | Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybasketball · moneyline | New York Liberty | won | 61¢ · -156 | $1,682 | +1,023 |
| 2026-08-22 | Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty · Spread New York Liberty (-1.5)basketball · spreads | New York Liberty | won | 51¢ · -106 | $2,855 | +2,573 |
| 2026-08-22 | Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobasketball · moneyline | Toronto Tempo | won | 60¢ · -150 | $918 | +582 |
| 2026-08-22 | Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobasketball · moneyline | Portland Fire | lost | 58¢ · -141 | $8,574 | −8,574 |
| 2026-08-22 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 162.5basketball · totals | Under | won | 54¢ · -117 | $153 | +124 |
| 2026-08-22 | Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)basketball · spreads | Minnesota Lynx | won | 52¢ · -108 | $614 | +539 |
| 2026-08-21 | Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC · Spread Arsenal FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Arsenal FC | won | 60¢ · -150 | $408 | +259 |
| 2026-08-21 | Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparksbasketball · moneyline | Atlanta Dream | won | 98¢ · -4713 | $2,703 | +54 |
| 2026-08-21 | Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks · Spread Atlanta Dream (-9.5)basketball · spreads | Atlanta Dream | won | 89¢ · -809 | $201 | +24 |
| 2026-08-21 | Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings · Spread Indiana Fever (-3.5)basketball · spreads | Indiana Fever | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $307 | −307 |
| 2026-08-20 | Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks · Spread Atlanta Dream (-7.5)basketball · spreads | Atlanta Dream | won | 57¢ · -133 | $3,217 | +2,295 |
| 2026-08-19 | Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5basketball · totals | Over | won | 51¢ · -105 | $1,650 | +1,497 |
| 2026-08-19 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbasketball · moneyline | Minnesota Lynx | won | 58¢ · -138 | $1,281 | +882 |
| 2026-08-19 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5basketball · totals | Under | won | 54¢ · -116 | $1,330 | +1,090 |
| 2026-08-18 | Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces · Spread Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)basketball · spreads | Atlanta Dream | won | 53¢ · -113 | $1,535 | +1,297 |
| 2026-08-17 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries · Spread Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)basketball · spreads | Dallas Wings | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $1,290 | −1,290 |
| 2026-08-16 | Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Stormbasketball · moneyline | Chicago Sky | won | 56¢ · -127 | $2,434 | +1,819 |
| 2026-08-14 | Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever · Spread Indiana Fever (-7.5)basketball · spreads | Indiana Fever | won | 53¢ · -111 | $879 | +752 |
| 2026-08-14 | Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever · Spread Indiana Fever (-6.5)basketball · spreads | Indiana Fever | won | 56¢ · -128 | $460 | +343 |
| 2026-08-10 | Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dreambasketball · moneyline | Atlanta Dream | won | 88¢ · -733 | $201 | +26 |
| 2026-07-30 | Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)basketball · spreads | Las Vegas Aces | won | 58¢ · -137 | $774 | +536 |
| 2026-07-14 | Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 3¢ · +2930 | $105 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 5¢ · +1941 | $105 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 3¢ · +3616 | $105 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $105 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $104 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 16¢ · +525 | $104 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $105 | — |
| 2026-07-13 | Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces · Spread Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)basketball · spreads | Las Vegas Aces | lost | 55¢ · -124 | $1,636 | −1,636 |
| 2026-07-12 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 57¢ · -133 | $4,548 | — |
| 2026-07-11 | Will England win on 2026-07-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 50¢ · -101 | $512 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 61¢ · -157 | $1,824 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 8¢ · +1150 | $52 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $470 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 12¢ · +733 | $209 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 12¢ · +733 | $104 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 12¢ · +733 | $104 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 2¢ · +4445 | $105 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 5¢ · +1900 | $105 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $105 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | Will France win on 2026-07-09?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 61¢ · -159 | $3,154 | — |
| 2026-07-08 | Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybasketball · moneyline | Phoenix Mercury | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $1,516 | −1,287 |
| 2026-07-07 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 58¢ · -139 | $2,215 | — |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Egypt | lost | 84¢ · -535 | $402 | −402 |
| 2026-07-07 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 73¢ · -270 | $302 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | Slovenia vs. Swedenmoneyline · Non-sports | Sweden | won | 66¢ · -196 | $808 | +400 |
| 2026-07-06 | Czechia vs. Estoniamoneyline · Non-sports | Czechia | won | 70¢ · -230 | $505 | +213 |
| 2026-07-06 | Poland vs. Netherlandsmoneyline · Non-sports | Poland | won | 74¢ · -283 | $683 | +235 |
| 2026-07-06 | Czechia vs. Estoniamoneyline · Non-sports | Estonia | lost | 56¢ · -126 | $1,196 | −520 |
| 2026-07-06 | China vs. Chinese Taipeimoneyline · Non-sports | China | won | 78¢ · -347 | $1,107 | +309 |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | England | won | 51¢ · -104 | $3,560 | +3,319 |
| 2026-07-05 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $3,803 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 56¢ · -128 | $3,019 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces · Spread Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)basketball · spreads | Las Vegas Aces | won | 50¢ · -100 | $558 | +542 |
| 2026-07-04 | Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Libertybasketball · moneyline | New York Liberty | won | 77¢ · -334 | $705 | +205 |
| 2026-07-04 | Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Libertybasketball · moneyline | Minnesota Lynx | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $1,419 | −605 |
| 2026-07-03 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 0¢ · +99900 | $67 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 0¢ · +99900 | $62 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | China vs. Japanmoneyline · Non-sports | China | lost | 75¢ · -300 | $201 | −201 |
| 2026-07-03 | Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mysticsbasketball · moneyline | Washington Mystics | won | 55¢ · -121 | $99 | +79 |