Public evidence record

0xf12f…b30f

0xf12f7688a0bc8cc744ef871f70b74c16a976b30f

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.0%1,159 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+1.2%$1,158,459 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.73%430 pre-event fills

Settlement record

468-656-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−49.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,159 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.3% to +4.4%

1,159 closed positions · 1,487 taker fills · $1,158,459 deployed

Typical position $878 (median) · closing line value measured over 430 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

3 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$443

Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Juan Estevez

Juan Estevez

entry 12¢ · +705now 3¢ · +3536−9.7 pts

Open

value$1156

Buenos Aires 2: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Pedro Martinez

Eduardo Ribeiro

entry 18¢ · +451now 11¢ · +852−7.7 pts

Open

value$6808

Buenos Aires 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Valerio Aboian

Valerio Aboian

entry 13¢ · +670now 59¢ · -144+46.0 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis1,110 closed446–631–4-2.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Genoa 2: Dali Blanch vs Sandro Kopptennis · moneyline	Sandro Kopp	lost	20¢ · +400	$884	−884
2026-09-21	Genoa 2: Federico Arnaboldi vs Florian Broskatennis · moneyline	Florian Broska	lost	41¢ · +144	$1,493	−1,493
2026-09-21	Plovdiv 4: Daniel Galan vs Calvin Hemerytennis · moneyline	Calvin Hemery	won	41¢ · +142	$1,337	+1,804
2026-09-21	Saint Tropez: Mathys Domenc vs Daniel Jade