Public evidence record

0xf268…ab74

0xf26817d96bf629d381e16027492b53c01793ab74

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 25, 2026

Source sync: Sep 25, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-0.1%285 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+5.3%$27,290 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+3.72%516 pre-event fills

Settlement record

171-87-18Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−42.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 285 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.8% to +7.6%

285 closed positions · 654 taker fills · $27,290 deployed

Typical position $42 (median) · closing line value measured over 516 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$134

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?

No

entry 69¢ · -221now 92¢ · -1190+23.4 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer133 closed112–16+2.1%
Tennis93 closed32–39–18-6.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 88 sports · 12 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-06-22	Lexus Eastbourne Open (Doubles): Cash/Glasspool vs Cerundolo/Carabellitennis · moneyline	Cash/Glasspool	exited	60¢ · -148	$36	−0
2026-06-19	Nottingham 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanentennis · moneyline	Zhizhen Zhang	lost	38¢ · +165	$172	−172
2026-06-19	United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score	No	won	49¢ · +104	$23	+23
2026-06-19	Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5