Public evidence record

0xf333…038c

0xf333437240ebb04e9763e8d7abeb23b2d4df038c

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.9%2,737 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.2%$247,050 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.44%2,097 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1201-740-25Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−102.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,737 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.2% to -2.7%

2,737 closed positions · 6,921 taker fills · $247,050 deployed

Typical position $30 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,097 pre-event fills · 7% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$130

Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas

North Texas

entry 90¢ · -899now 92¢ · -1076+1.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports775 closed327–229–10-6.5%
Basketball662 closed247–175-4.5%
Tennis516 closed251–124–13-1.8%
Soccer285 closed148–72-7.7%
Hockey212 closed112–68-3.7%
Baseball136 closed31–28–2-7.7%
MMA101 closed57–28-4.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 90 sports · 10 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-01	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Darttennis · moneyline	Lilli Tagger	lost	79¢ · -376	$38	−38
2026-11-01	Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5basketball · totals	Over	won	84¢ · -510	$31	+6
2026-11-01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETNon-sports	Down	won	52¢ · -108	$17	+15
2026-11-01	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)