Public evidence record

Alaoq

0xf39d2cd4a616ff20cb1dd4e76a5920b79259aa9d

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-12.1%428 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.1%$20,638 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.89%85 pre-event fills

Settlement record

91-300-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−37.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 428 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -22.8% to -1.5%

428 closed positions · 608 taker fills · $20,638 deployed

Typical position $43 (median) · closing line value measured over 85 pre-event fills · 6% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports206 closed55–131-4.3%
Baseball132 closed20–97–3-12.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 61 sports · 39 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-08-20	Combo: Houston Astros — Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros + Golden State Valkyries — Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesmulti sport · combo	—	lost	22¢ · +345	$30	−30
2026-08-20	Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · moneyline	Milwaukee Brewers	lost	12¢ · +733	$32	−32
2026-08-19	Combo: DN SOOPers — LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group + Anyone's Legend — LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendesports · combo	—	lost	17¢ · +479	$30	−30