Public evidence record

stevenlin

0xf55569699d9252772eeaad5cf2ededda2ce0b36b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.1%302 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.8%$14,081 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.72%236 pre-event fills

Settlement record

138-153Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−16.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 302 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.7% to +6.5%

302 closed positions · 475 taker fills · $14,081 deployed

Typical position $30 (median) · closing line value measured over 236 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$94

1. FC Cologne vs. Hertha BSC: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Over

entry 30¢ · +235now 50¢ · +102+19.7 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer147 closed64–80-2.0%
Esports91 closed47–40-4.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-08-17	LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline	Dplus KIA Challengers	lost	57¢ · -133	$81	−81
2026-08-17	Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5soccer · totals	Over	lost	52¢ · -108	$31	−31
2026-08-17	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbaseball · moneyline	Houston Astros	lost	17¢ · +488	$19	−19
2026-08-17	Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: 1st Half O/U 2.5soccer · first half totals	Over	lost