Public evidence record

0xf5aa…4464

0xf5aa2a175c457f797a426e0b81c530287b064464

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.1%1,416 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.0%$247,779 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.66%2,142 pre-event fills

Settlement record

729-658-26Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−100.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,416 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -5.9% to +3.7%

1,416 closed positions · 2,252 taker fills · $247,779 deployed

Typical position $42 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,142 pre-event fills · 10% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$58

Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-16?

Yes

entry 5¢ · +1732now 5¢ · +1920−0.5 pts

Open

value$251

Will Georgia win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

No

entry 83¢ · -488now 100¢+16.9 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball434 closed228–205-0.6%
Baseball413 closed202–208–1-4.1%
Tennis349 closed178–147–24-4.1%
Hockey119 closed68–51+1.1%
Football76 closed40–35–1-3.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-29	Guangzhou Open: Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin Quevedotennis · moneyline	Kaitlin Quevedo	won	47¢ · +113	$522	+560
2026-10-27	Griekspoor vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 23.5tennis · tennis match totals	Over	won	48¢ · +108	$24	+24
2026-10-26	Spread: Rangers (-1.5)hockey · spreads	Kings	won	67¢ · -203	$813	+381
2026-10-26	Set Handicap: Juan Manuel Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Daniel Altmaier (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	lost