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Public evidence record
0xf6d09ad1e271953ea8c61fa83c3dbed37d36712d
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-7.7%255 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-4.7%$80,537 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-0.71%286 pre-event fillsSettlement record
49-109Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−22.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 255 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -15.6% to +0.3%
255 closed positions · 568 taker fills · $80,537 deployed
Typical position $255 (median) · closing line value measured over 286 pre-event fills · 24% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)football · spreads | Chiefs | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $4,976 | −4,976 |
| 2026-09-20 | Eagles vs. Titansfootball · moneyline | Eagles | exited | 76¢ · -317 | $6,822 | −1,849 |
| 2026-09-17 | Spread: Bears (-3.5)football · spreads | Bears | exited | 57¢ · -133 | $221 | −28 |
| 2026-09-17 | Miami (FL) vs. Wake Forest · Spread Miami (FL) (-20.5)football · spreads | Miami (FL) | exited | 52¢ · -108 | $213 |
| −18 |
| 2026-09-17 | Panthers vs. Falconsfootball · moneyline | Panthers | exited | 54¢ · -117 | $221 | +2 |
| 2026-09-17 | Spread: Buccaneers (-8.5)football · spreads | Buccaneers | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $302 | −27 |
| 2026-09-17 | Spread: Eagles (-6.5)football · spreads | Eagles | exited | 55¢ · -122 | $360 | −22 |
| 2026-09-14 | Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)football · spreads | Broncos | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $266 | −266 |
| 2026-09-13 | Spread: Eagles (-4.5)football · spreads | Eagles | exited | 52¢ · -108 | $229 | +68 |
| 2026-09-13 | Spread: Bears (-2.5)football · spreads | Bears | exited | 56¢ · -127 | $229 | +156 |
| 2026-09-13 | Broncos vs. Chiefsfootball · moneyline | Broncos | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $231 | −231 |
| 2026-09-12 | Alabama vs. Kentucky · Spread Alabama (-8.5)football · spreads | Alabama | exited | 55¢ · -122 | $236 | +183 |
| 2026-09-12 | Louisiana Tech vs. LSU · Spread LSU (-34.5)football · spreads | LSU | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $225 | −225 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $215 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Oklahoma vs. Michigan · Spread Oklahoma (-4.5)football · spreads | Oklahoma | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $231 | −231 |
| 2026-09-12 | Oklahoma vs. Michigan · Spread Oklahoma (-5.5)football · spreads | Oklahoma | exited | 51¢ · -105 | $304 | −45 |
| 2026-09-11 | Combo: Jaguars — Browns vs. Jaguars + Lions — Saints vs. Lions + Chargers — Cardinals vs. Chargers + Ravens — Ravens vs. Colts + Bears — Bears vs. Panthers + Eagles — Commanders vs. Eagles + Vikings — Packers vs. Vikings + Rams — 49ers vs. Rams + Cowboys — Cowboys vs. Giantsfootball · combo | — | lost | 3¢ · +2911 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-09-10 | Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $231 | −231 |
| 2026-09-07 | SMU vs. Florida State: O/U 54.5football · totals | Under | won | 48¢ · +108 | $153 | +157 |
| 2026-09-06 | Louisville vs. Ole Miss · Spread Ole Miss (-6.5)football · spreads | Ole Miss | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $244 | −244 |
| 2026-09-03 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 77¢ · -335 | $6,250 | — |
| 2026-09-02 | New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | lost | 63¢ · -170 | $257 | −257 |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-09-02?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 53¢ · -113 | $65 | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Celtic FC | exited | 57¢ · -133 | $134 | +82 |
| 2026-09-02 | Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-09-02?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 45¢ · +122 | $134 | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · moneyline | Boston Red Sox | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $132 | −132 |
| 2026-09-02 | Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · moneyline | Texas Rangers | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $135 | −135 |
| 2026-09-02 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 54¢ · -116 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-09-02 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $153 | −153 |
| 2026-09-02 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 51¢ · -104 | $104 | +96 |
| 2026-09-02 | New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | exited | 57¢ · -133 | $198 | +121 |
| 2026-09-01 | Jesús Luzardo: Strikeouts O/U 6.5baseball · baseball player strikeouts | Over | lost | 42¢ · +139 | $131 | −131 |
| 2026-09-01 | Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-09-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $63 | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · moneyline | Boston Red Sox | exited | 60¢ · -150 | $257 | +163 |
| 2026-08-31 | San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · moneyline | Atlanta Braves | exited | 61¢ · -156 | $265 | +7 |
| 2026-08-31 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 51¢ · -104 | $104 | +96 |
| 2026-08-31 | New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $228 | −228 |
| 2026-08-30 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 52¢ · -109 | $246 | +214 |
| 2026-08-30 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 54¢ · -117 | $133 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-08-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 36¢ · +178 | $104 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbaseball · nrfi | No | exited | 57¢ · -133 | $204 | +146 |
| 2026-08-29 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $141 | −141 |
| 2026-08-29 | Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves · Spread Atlanta Braves (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Atlanta Braves | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $141 | −141 |
| 2026-08-29 | North Carolina vs. TCU · Spread TCU (-7.5)football · spreads | TCU | lost | 46¢ · +116 | $263 | −263 |
| 2026-08-29 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigersbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 57¢ · -133 | $111 | +79 |
| 2026-08-29 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $108 | −108 |
| 2026-08-29 | San Jose State vs. USC · Spread USC (-38.5)football · spreads | USC | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $216 | −216 |
| 2026-08-29 | Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Celtic FC | exited | 59¢ · -142 | $291 | +129 |
| 2026-08-29 | Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-08-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 46¢ · +117 | $104 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 76¢ · -315 | $5,993 | — |
| 2026-08-28 | Commanders vs. Ravensfootball · moneyline | Ravens | exited | 60¢ · -150 | $306 | +173 |
| 2026-08-28 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 53¢ · -113 | $309 | −24 |
| 2026-08-27 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Metsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 61¢ · -153 | $340 | −340 |
| 2026-08-27 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $348 | −348 |
| 2026-08-27 | Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbaseball · moneyline | Baltimore Orioles | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $370 | −370 |
| 2026-08-26 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 59¢ · -142 | $359 | −359 |
| 2026-08-26 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Marinersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 58¢ · -139 | $409 | −409 |
| 2026-08-26 | Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Athletics | won | 56¢ · -127 | $166 | +124 |
| 2026-08-26 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · nrfi | No | exited | 61¢ · -154 | $244 | +154 |
| 2026-08-26 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $202 | −202 |
| 2026-08-26 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $120 | −120 |
| 2026-08-25 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $169 | −169 |
| 2026-08-24 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 61¢ · -156 | $93 | +57 |
| 2026-08-24 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 55¢ · -122 | $287 | +223 |
| 2026-08-24 | Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $202 | −202 |
| 2026-08-23 | Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbaseball · moneyline | Chicago Cubs | exited | 42¢ · +138 | $188 | +180 |
| 2026-08-23 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $458 | −458 |
| 2026-08-23 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · moneyline | Baltimore Orioles | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $133 | −133 |
| 2026-08-23 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $186 | −186 |
| 2026-08-23 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $186 | −186 |
| 2026-08-23 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $97 | −97 |
| 2026-08-23 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 57¢ · -132 | $411 | −411 |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Harrogate Town AFC win on 2026-08-22?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $202 | — |
| 2026-08-22 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $252 | −252 |
| 2026-08-22 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 52¢ · -108 | $202 | +178 |
| 2026-08-21 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $409 | −409 |
| 2026-08-21 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 52¢ · -108 | $198 | +182 |
| 2026-08-21 | Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)esports · map handicap | T1 | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $310 | −310 |
| 2026-08-20 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 56¢ · -127 | $504 | +385 |
| 2026-08-20 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $255 | −255 |
| 2026-08-19 | New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · moneyline | Baltimore Orioles | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $205 | −205 |
| 2026-08-19 | Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz: LASK Linz O/U 3.5 Cornerssoccer · soccer team total corners | Over | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $297 | −297 |
| 2026-08-19 | Combo: Milwaukee Brewers — Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers + New York Yankees — New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles + Atlanta Braves — Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins + Tampa Bay Rays — Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · combo | — | lost | 6¢ · +1440 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-08-18 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · nrfi | No | exited | 55¢ · -122 | $202 | +157 |
| 2026-08-18 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 57¢ · -132 | $369 | −369 |
| 2026-08-17 | San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | exited | 37¢ · +171 | $251 | +57 |
| 2026-08-17 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbaseball · nrfi | No | exited | 52¢ · -108 | $382 | +337 |
| 2026-08-17 | LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsesports · moneyline | T1 | exited | 28¢ · +257 | $127 | +5 |
| 2026-08-16 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 56¢ · -127 | $303 | +227 |
| 2026-08-16 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $251 | −251 |
| 2026-08-16 | Combo: Neil Magny — UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims) + Joel Álvarez — UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims) + Mackenzie Dern — UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | lost | 23¢ · +338 | $250 | −250 |
| 2026-08-15 | Combo: Ramiz Brahimaj — UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims) + Joel Álvarez — UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims) + Mackenzie Dern — UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | lost | 29¢ · +242 | $125 | −125 |
| 2026-08-15 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $256 | −256 |
| 2026-08-15 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbaseball · nrfi | No | exited | 53¢ · -113 | $380 | +320 |
| 2026-08-15 | UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Rafael Tobias | lost | 29¢ · +242 | $257 | −257 |
| 2026-08-14 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · nrfi | No | exited | 55¢ · -121 | $314 | +245 |
| 2026-08-14 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · nrfi | No | exited | 59¢ · -144 | $501 | +335 |
| 2026-08-14 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $256 | −256 |
| 2026-08-14 | Michael King: Strikeouts O/U 3.5baseball · baseball player strikeouts | Over | won | 60¢ · -153 | $252 | +157 |
| 2026-08-14 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · nrfi | No | exited | 51¢ · -104 | $256 | +233 |