Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
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Public evidence record
0xf7568112aaabdafec474fe7c62e9d47fcd3a3a81
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-8.4%192 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-4.8%$7,800 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.13%169 pre-event fillsSettlement record
105-62Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−17.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 192 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -14.6% to -2.1%
192 closed positions · 907 taker fills · $7,800 deployed
Typical position $30 (median) · closing line value measured over 169 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 94 sports · 6 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 75¢ · -300 | $76 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 81¢ · -420 | $62 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $60 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline |
| San Diego Padres |
| won |
| 67¢ · -199 |
| $115 |
| +46 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $106 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | won | 71¢ · -245 | $79 | +28 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will FC Astana win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 87¢ · -669 | $68 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline | Miami Marlins | won | 80¢ · -400 | $56 | +13 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Angel City FC win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | won | 80¢ · -390 | $40 | +10 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Denver Summit FC win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 88¢ · -750 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astrosbaseball · moneyline | Houston Astros | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $10 | −5 |
| 2026-09-17 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | Seattle Mariners | won | 71¢ · -245 | $15 | −4 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-16?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 82¢ · -443 | $89 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 54¢ · -117 | $26 | +21 |
| 2026-09-17 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 66¢ · -194 | $31 | −27 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Hartford Athletic win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 66¢ · -195 | $92 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Portuguesa FC win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 86¢ · -614 | $7 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 32¢ · +212 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbaseball · moneyline | Toronto Blue Jays | exited | 55¢ · -122 | $16 | +13 |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 65¢ · -186 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 65¢ · -183 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 79¢ · -367 | $48 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 67¢ · -203 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 71¢ · -245 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will PAOK win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 55¢ · -122 | $2 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twinsbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | lost | 56¢ · -126 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-09-16 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 57¢ · -133 | $8 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 73¢ · -270 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 44¢ · +125 | $7 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will AIK win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $2 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 62¢ · -163 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will FC Lugano win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 44¢ · +127 | $2 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will PFC CSKA Sofia win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 81¢ · -426 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 69¢ · -223 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 73¢ · -270 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 74¢ · -283 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks | lost | 73¢ · -275 | $106 | −12 |
| 2026-09-16 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | Seattle Mariners | lost | 58¢ · -137 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 78¢ · -350 | $43 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 69¢ · -223 | $5 | +2 |
| 2026-09-16 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | lost | 66¢ · -194 | $15 | −13 |
| 2026-09-16 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twinsbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 62¢ · -163 | $15 | +9 |
| 2026-09-16 | Will CR Brasil win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 73¢ · -270 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 69¢ · -223 | $36 | +15 |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Indy Eleven win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 56¢ · -127 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 69¢ · -223 | $6 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 62¢ · -163 | $8 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will San Luis de Quillota win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 75¢ · -300 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 16¢ · +511 | $6 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 82¢ · -456 | $29 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 81¢ · -429 | $31 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 73¢ · -270 | $25 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 79¢ · -369 | $22 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 38¢ · +163 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Gornik Zabrze win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 69¢ · -223 | $6 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Millwall FC win on 2026-09-08?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 63¢ · -170 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 88¢ · -733 | $58 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Shanghai Dragonshockey · moneyline | SKA St. Petersburg | exited | 80¢ · -400 | $5 | +1 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Beitar Jerusalem FC win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 82¢ · -456 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will FC Sion win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 71¢ · -245 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 63¢ · -172 | $41 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Modern SC win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 49¢ · +104 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Johor Darul Ta'zim vs. Buriram United: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $30 | +2 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twinsbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 69¢ · -223 | $10 | +4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | Seattle Mariners | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-15 | Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbaseball · moneyline | Toronto Blue Jays | lost | 69¢ · -223 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will CD Unión La Calera win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 79¢ · -376 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | won | 81¢ · -426 | $5 | +1 |
| 2026-09-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 66¢ · -194 | $95 | +46 |
| 2026-09-14 | SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $90 | +3 |
| 2026-09-14 | Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 85¢ · -567 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 74¢ · -285 | $15 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 81¢ · -426 | $65 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 93¢ · -1329 | $60 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 61¢ · -156 | $31 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will Al-Ittihad Club win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will FK Neftchi Fargona win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 69¢ · -225 | $15 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $90 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 68¢ · -212 | $15 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10AM ETNon-sports | Up | exited | 77¢ · -335 | $15 | −5 |
| 2026-09-14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 83¢ · -488 | $20 | +4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 63¢ · -170 | $10 | +6 |
| 2026-09-14 | Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 67¢ · -203 | $85 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $80 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $80 | +7 |
| 2026-09-13 | Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · moneyline | Boston Red Sox | won | 66¢ · -197 | $56 | +27 |
| 2026-09-13 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 82¢ · -468 | $27 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $25 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Will EC Vitória win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 88¢ · -733 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Will PAOK Thessaloniki win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $60 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlinsbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 88¢ · -733 | $80 | −80 |
| 2026-09-13 | Will RAAL La Louviere win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $80 | — |