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Public evidence record
0xf7568112aaabdafec474fe7c62e9d47fcd3a3a81
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-7.2%222 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-4.5%$9,555 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.07%340 pre-event fillsSettlement record
125-70-1Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−17.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 222 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.4% to -1.1%
222 closed positions · 1,133 taker fills · $9,555 deployed
Typical position $30 (median) · closing line value measured over 340 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 80 sports · 20 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $101 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 74¢ · -285 | $76 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 64¢ · -175 | $50 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-11-03? |
| Yes |
| lost |
| 27¢ · +270 |
| $5 |
| — |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $23 | — |
| 2026-10-20 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 63¢ · -172 | $539 | — |
| 2026-10-20 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | won | 59¢ · -144 | $102 | +58 |
| 2026-10-20 | Commanders vs. 49ersfootball · moneyline | 49ers | won | 94¢ · -1458 | $261 | +17 |
| 2026-10-19 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 87¢ · -641 | $321 | — |
| 2026-10-19 | Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 39¢ · +154 | $129 | — |
| 2026-10-16 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 79¢ · -382 | $341 | −327 |
| 2026-10-15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 3¢ · +2811 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-10-15 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 43¢ · +130 | $97 | — |
| 2026-10-15 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 51¢ · -104 | $26 | — |
| 2026-10-15 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 27¢ · +270 | $31 | — |
| 2026-10-15 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $23 | −23 |
| 2026-10-14 | Will Hartford Athletic win on 2026-10-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $5 | — |
| 2026-10-14 | Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 35¢ · +182 | $62 | — |
| 2026-10-14 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 19¢ · +426 | $83 | — |
| 2026-10-14 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 32¢ · +212 | $21 | — |
| 2026-10-14 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 68¢ · -212 | $102 | — |
| 2026-10-02 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-02?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 13¢ · +699 | $31 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $69 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7?Non-sports | No | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $11 | −8 |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 88¢ · -733 | $111 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | won | 60¢ · -150 | $61 | +39 |
| 2026-10-01 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 56¢ · -129 | $46 | +33 |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 68¢ · -212 | $3 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 59¢ · -144 | $2 | +1 |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Cavalry FC win on 2026-09-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 79¢ · -383 | $45 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 34¢ · +198 | $7 | +5 |
| 2026-09-30 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies | won | 52¢ · -108 | $45 | +39 |
| 2026-09-30 | Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-09-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $12 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETNon-sports | Down | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $10 | +2 |
| 2026-09-30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 6?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 3¢ · +3233 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-29 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 56¢ · -127 | $215 | +160 |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Nigeria win on 2026-09-29?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | lost | 66¢ · -194 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Togo win on 2026-09-29?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | lost | 17¢ · +490 | $4 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Cape Verde win on 2026-09-29?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Uganda win on 2026-09-29?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 54¢ · -117 | $4 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Scotland win on 2026-09-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 22¢ · +355 | $4 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Luxembourg win on 2026-09-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 30¢ · +233 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 61¢ · -156 | $4 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Mauritania win on 2026-09-29?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $4 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Russia win on 2026-09-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 58¢ · -138 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will England win on 2026-09-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 73¢ · -270 | $6 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will United States win on 2026-09-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 67¢ · -203 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Finland win on 2026-09-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 45¢ · +123 | $32 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Senegal win on 2026-09-29?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 70¢ · -233 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Egypt win on 2026-09-29?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 81¢ · -426 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Ghana win on 2026-09-29?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | lost | 69¢ · -223 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 37¢ · +170 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 73¢ · -270 | $6 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-28?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 47¢ · +113 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Deportes Quindio win on 2026-09-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 58¢ · -138 | $6 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Montevideo Wanderers win on 2026-09-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 42¢ · +138 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will EC Juventude win on 2026-09-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 51¢ · -104 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | Will Suriname win on 2026-09-28?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 63¢ · -173 | $22 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will Internacional FC De Palmira win on 2026-09-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 65¢ · -186 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will CD Castellón win on 2026-09-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 44¢ · +127 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will France win on 2026-09-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 45¢ · +122 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 33¢ · +199 | $21 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 47¢ · +111 | $31 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will Algeria win on 2026-09-29?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | lost | 76¢ · -317 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will Jamaica win on 2026-09-28?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $2 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will Hungary win on 2026-09-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $8 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $21 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-09-27?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 68¢ · -212 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $6 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will CF América win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 51¢ · -104 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will Club León FC win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 63¢ · -173 | $34 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 43¢ · +134 | $21 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Will Puerto Rico win on 2026-09-27?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 60¢ · -151 | $7 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Will CD Tolima win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 64¢ · -181 | $12 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 69¢ · -223 | $20 | +9 |
| 2026-09-27 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbaseball · moneyline | Seattle Mariners | won | 64¢ · -178 | $15 | +8 |
| 2026-09-27 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 68¢ · -212 | $6 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Will Defensor Sporting win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 72¢ · -257 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Will Alianza FC win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 74¢ · -285 | $6 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Will AD Cali win on 2026-08-06?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 56¢ · -127 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Will One Knoxville SC win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $26 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | push | 53¢ · -113 | $41 | −3 |
| 2026-09-27 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 63¢ · -173 | $25 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $40 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Will SD Eibar win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 90¢ · -900 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 73¢ · -270 | $15 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · moneyline | Chicago White Sox | won | 60¢ · -150 | $26 | +16 |
| 2026-09-27 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 65¢ · -186 | $15 | +8 |
| 2026-09-27 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbaseball · moneyline | Seattle Mariners | won | 60¢ · -150 | $33 | +21 |
| 2026-09-27 | Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-09-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 61¢ · -156 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $25 | — |
| 2026-09-26 | Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 61¢ · -153 | $33 | — |
| 2026-09-26 | Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-09-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 66¢ · -194 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-26 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 62¢ · -161 | $38 | +22 |
| 2026-09-26 | Will Nashville SC win on 2026-09-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 70¢ · -233 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-26 | Will Indy Eleven win on 2026-09-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 58¢ · -140 | $26 | — |
| 2026-09-26 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 72¢ · -257 | $30 | +11 |
| 2026-09-26 | Will United States win on 2026-09-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 69¢ · -219 | $29 | — |
| 2026-09-26 | Will Deportivo Madryn win on 2026-09-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $10 | — |