Public evidence record

Chillinvillian

0xf7c4415e79a85796cb74eeb137bc6dc704a35919

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-57.4%3,156 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-15.0%$188,608 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-9.61%76 pre-event fills

Settlement record

304-2779-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−504.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 3,156 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -61.2% to -53.7%

3,156 closed positions · 9,127 taker fills · $188,608 deployed

Typical position $45 (median) · closing line value measured over 76 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball1,308 closed84–1188-59.0%
Basketball895 closed77–803-52.8%
Hockey594 closed94–487-37.2%
Football243 closed30–208-30.0%
Esports70 closed7–60–1-19.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-08-13	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline	Texas Rangers	lost	4¢ · +2458	$60	−60
2026-08-13	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbaseball · moneyline	Detroit Tigers	lost	10¢ · +900	$40	−40
2026-08-13	New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · moneyline	New York Mets	lost	1¢ · +11926	$19	−19
2026-08-13	Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationalsbaseball · moneyline	Washington Nationals	lost	3¢ · +3769