Public evidence record

Nomaden1009

0xf83a70350aa6df2c921001fd4fffa3d0afc5e7fe

Not ranked. market maker (30% maker fills). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.5%64 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+2.5%$5,832 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.12%153 pre-event fills

Settlement record

47-17Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−2.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 64 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.1% to +7.1%

64 closed positions · 158 taker fills · $5,832 deployed

Typical position $70 (median) · closing line value measured over 153 pre-event fills · 30% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer58 closed42–16-2.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-13	Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorersoccer · soccer anytime goalscorer	No	lost	56¢ · -127	$135	−135
2026-09-06	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	98¢ · -4900	$500	—
2026-08-27	SF vs. LV: O/U 37.5football · totals	Under	won	50¢ · -100	$66	+63
2026-08-22	Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance	Yes	won	26¢ · +285	$27