Public evidence record

0xf95e…1816

0xf95e269d7e6c37da86dcbc2fc515e9bbd7741816

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 25, 2026

Source sync: Sep 25, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+0.1%815 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+0.6%$112,676 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.39%941 pre-event fills

Settlement record

377-317-56Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−26.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 815 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -5.8% to +6.0%

815 closed positions · 1,291 taker fills · $112,676 deployed

Typical position $103 (median) · closing line value measured over 941 pre-event fills · 3% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$359

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

Baltimore Orioles

entry 42¢ · +138now 48¢ · +111+5.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports563 closed255–226–35-0.7%
Soccer124 closed74–41–1-2.1%
Basketball68 closed29–32-5.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 96 sports · 4 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-25	Asian Games Men: Afghanistan vs Nepalsoccer · moneyline	Nepal	won	36¢ · +174	$73	+121
2026-09-24	Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Gothboiclique (BO1) - Leon.bet Masters Group Besports · moneyline	BASEMENT BOYS	push	61¢ · -153	$193	−36
2026-09-24	Will Borussia Monchengladbach win on 2026-09-24?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	89¢ · -809	$54	—
2026-09-23	FC Barcelona vs. Paris FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners