Public evidence record

kitonnum237

0xf99a25045afd316d54211e49f5c4a6f65833df76

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.8%299 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.5%$30,830 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.47%304 pre-event fills

Settlement record

159-83Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−6.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 299 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.1% to +4.5%

299 closed positions · 1,102 taker fills · $30,830 deployed

Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 304 pre-event fills · 17% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$6

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes

entry 11¢ · +810now 12¢ · +770+0.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer259 closed144–74-0.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Club Brugge vs. KRC Genk: O/U 1.5soccer · totals	Over	won	80¢ · -413	$20	+5
2026-09-20	Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	77¢ · -335	$30	—
2026-09-20	Will Rangers FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	74¢ · -285	$30	—
2026-09-20	Hannover 96 vs. VfL Bochum · Spread Hannover 96 (-2.5)soccer · spreads	VfL Bochum	won	64¢ · -178