Public evidence record

btmok

0xf9ef91d1eecb656cf6b70d685eff5ff0750f7ee6

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.6%1,453 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.3%$174,032 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.00%428 pre-event fills

Settlement record

922-293-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−47.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,453 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.2% to -3.1%

1,453 closed positions · 6,422 taker fills · $174,032 deployed

Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 428 pre-event fills · 4% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$4

Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5

Over

entry 81¢ · -426now 61¢ · -153−20.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis856 closed511–180–2-4.0%
Basketball350 closed224–72-7.1%
Football128 closed94–23-3.8%
Soccer111 closed87–16-5.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Ealatennis · moneyline	Antonia Ruzic	lost	16¢ · +512	$7	−1
2026-11-06	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Ealatennis · moneyline	Alexandra Eala	won	75¢ · -300	$101	+1
2026-11-06	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkaritennis · moneyline	Maria Sakkari	won	96¢ · -2209	$30	+1
2026-11-06