value$136
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes
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Public evidence record
0xfa7f8f5a3b2c4640933921ec32b4f8ff74a2dc59
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 7, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-14.2%204 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-10.8%$23,436 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-7.13%88 pre-event fillsSettlement record
56-128Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−29.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 204 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -24.7% to -3.8%
204 closed positions · 394 taker fills · $23,436 deployed
Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 88 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 95 sports · 5 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 84¢ · -525 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-10-26 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +18519 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-26 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 8¢ · +1231 | $456 | — |
| 2026-10-26 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
| Yes |
| lost |
| 23¢ · +337 |
| $102 |
| — |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Movsar Evloev — UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) + Under — O/U 4.5 Roundsmma · combo | — | lost | 33¢ · +207 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Alexander Volkanovski | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $103 | +95 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Alexander Volkov — UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card) + Over — O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · combo | — | won | 42¢ · +136 | $50 | +61 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Under — O/U 2.5 Rounds + Ramazan Temirov — UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | lost | 30¢ · +239 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Rizvan Kuniev — UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card) + Under — O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · combo | — | lost | 16¢ · +532 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev — UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) + Over — O/U 0.5 Roundsmma · combo | — | won | 50¢ · -102 | $50 | +44 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Alexander Volkanovski win in Round 4?mma · ufc round of victory | Yes | lost | 8¢ · +1150 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Alexander Volkanovski win in Round 3?mma · ufc round of victory | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Alexander Volkanovski win in Round 2?mma · ufc round of victory | Yes | won | 8¢ · +1150 | $10 | +115 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Movsar Evloev win in Round 4?mma · ufc round of victory | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1371 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-24 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | lost | 66¢ · -194 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Movsar Evloev win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will the fight end in a decision or draw?mma · ufc round of victory | No | won | 68¢ · -212 | $102 | +45 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: No — O/U 2.5 Rounds + No — UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | exited | 20¢ · +408 | $50 | +182 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Under — O/U 2.5 Rounds + Losene Keita — UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)mma · combo | — | lost | 29¢ · +239 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Ramazan Temirov | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-10-24 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | won | 63¢ · -170 | $51 | +26 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Rizvan Kuniev | lost | 16¢ · +542 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Under — O/U 2.5 Rounds + Grant Dawson — UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)mma · combo | — | lost | 36¢ · +174 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | won | 63¢ · -170 | $51 | +28 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | won | 58¢ · -138 | $72 | +45 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Over — O/U 1.5 Rounds + Nikita Krylov — UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · combo | — | lost | 18¢ · +441 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Azamat Murzakanov — UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) + Under — O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · combo | — | lost | 52¢ · -107 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Losene Keita win in Round 2?mma · ufc round of victory | Yes | lost | 14¢ · +614 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Aaron Pico win in Round 2?mma · ufc round of victory | Yes | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333 · O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $61 | −61 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Azamat Murzakanov | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Azamat Murzakanov win in Round 3?mma · ufc round of victory | Yes | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | won | 60¢ · -150 | $51 | +29 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Azamat Murzakanov win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333 · O/U 0.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | won | 66¢ · -196 | $153 | −24 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win in Round 1?mma · ufc round of victory | No | lost | 49¢ · +106 | $41 | −41 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win in Round 2?mma · ufc round of victory | Yes | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $42 | −42 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Abubakar Vagaev win in Round 1?mma · ufc round of victory | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $21 | +151 |
| 2026-10-24 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | lost | 37¢ · +170 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-10-24 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | won | 60¢ · -150 | $51 | +31 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Cam Rowston | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Nurullo Aliev | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $103 | −79 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Grant Dawson win in Round 2?mma · ufc round of victory | Yes | lost | 12¢ · +733 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Grant Dawson win in Round 1?mma · ufc round of victory | Yes | lost | 12¢ · +733 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Colby Thicknesse | won | 20¢ · +392 | $94 | +158 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Asaf Chopurov win in Round 2?mma · ufc round of victory | Yes | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333 · O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Abubakar Vagaev | exited | 63¢ · -169 | $102 | +57 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will the fight end before Round 3?mma · ufc round of finish | Yes | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Bolaji Oki | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $51 | +1 |
| 2026-10-24 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | won | 36¢ · +178 | $21 | −1 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333 · O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-10-04 | UFC 332 · O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | lost | 73¢ · -265 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-10-04 | UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Khaos Williams | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-04 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | No | exited | 64¢ · -178 | $20 | +11 |
| 2026-10-03 | Will Ateba Gautier win in Round 3?mma · ufc round of victory | Yes | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $7 | −7 |
| 2026-10-03 | Will Ateba Gautier win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-10-03 | UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Imanol Rodriguez | exited | 57¢ · -133 | $11 | +8 |
| 2026-10-03 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | No | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $21 | +19 |
| 2026-10-03 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | won | 66¢ · -197 | $20 | +10 |
| 2026-10-03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 87¢ · -669 | $1 | +0 |
| 2026-09-26 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | won | 34¢ · +194 | $11 | +10 |
| 2026-09-26 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | No | exited | 62¢ · -163 | $7 | +4 |
| 2026-09-20 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Alexandre Pantoja | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $90 | −90 |
| 2026-09-20 | UFC 331 · O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | won | 54¢ · -117 | $50 | +40 |
| 2026-09-20 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Mauricio Ruffy | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-09-20 | UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Patricio Pitbull | exited | 25¢ · +306 | $21 | +60 |
| 2026-09-19 | Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 0 - 0 Coventry City FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 2 - 0 Coventry City FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $31 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Liam Delap: Anytime Goalscorersoccer · soccer anytime goalscorer | Yes | lost | 37¢ · +169 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-19 | Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornerssoccer · soccer first half total corners | Over | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-19 | Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 41¢ · +145 | $72 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 62¢ · -163 | $61 | +16 |
| 2026-09-19 | Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 26¢ · +283 | $21 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 73¢ · -270 | $96 | — |
| 2026-08-16 | Will Kauê Fernandes win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 31¢ · +223 | $12 | −12 |
| 2026-08-16 | UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Kauê Fernandes | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $15 | −15 |
| 2026-08-15 | UFC 330 · O/U 0.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | lost | 26¢ · +291 | $60 | −60 |
| 2026-08-02 | Combo: Over — O/U 2.5 Rounds + No — Fight to Go the Distance? + Aleksandar Rakic — UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | lost | 12¢ · +741 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-08-01 | Combo: Bogdan Grad — UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims) + Over — O/U 2.5 Rounds + No — Fight to Go the Distance?mma · combo | — | lost | 8¢ · +1141 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-08-01 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $47 | −47 |
| 2026-08-01 | UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Marcin Tybura | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-08-01 | UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Robert Valentin | won | 58¢ · -138 | $102 | +69 |
| 2026-08-01 | UFC Fight Night · O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-08-01 | Will Robert Valentin win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-08-01 | Will the fight be won by submission?mma · ufc method of victory | No | lost | 74¢ · -292 | $304 | −196 |
| 2026-08-01 | UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Urbina vs. Vlasto Cepo (Middleweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Gilbert Urbina | won | 28¢ · +257 | $52 | +125 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-08-01 | UFC Fight Night · O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-08-01 | Will the fight be won by submission?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | exited | 28¢ · +262 | $31 | +75 |
| 2026-08-01 | UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Noah Gugnon | won | 47¢ · +113 | $205 | +220 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $65 | −65 |
| 2026-08-01 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-08-01 | Will Noah Gugnon win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 26¢ · +288 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-08-01 | UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Tofiq Musayev | won | 55¢ · -124 | $520 | +279 |
| 2026-08-01 | UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Mark Vologdin | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $103 | −46 |
| 2026-08-01 | UFC Fight Night · O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-08-01 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $103 | −103 |