Public evidence record

Erickaguilar

0xfb20c7b499b536121fc3cbe8aa6256cbf2ca3b5c

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.8%2,979 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.3%$772,703 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.52%711 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1717-649Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−100.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,979 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -3.8% to +0.1%

2,979 closed positions · 7,229 taker fills · $772,703 deployed

Typical position $162 (median) · closing line value measured over 711 pre-event fills · 17% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer1,448 closed862–333-1.3%
Baseball389 closed207–85-5.1%
Tennis387 closed199–77-4.2%
Basketball295 closed183–35-1.5%
Hockey239 closed142–56-3.4%
Football118 closed81–24-3.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 97 sports · 3 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Qarabag FK vs. Turan Tovuz: O/U 3.5soccer · totals	Under	won	95¢ · -1900	$100	+5
2026-11-06	Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paultennis · moneyline	Ben Shelton	won	92¢ · -1150	$100	+8
2026-11-06	Madura United vs. Arema FC: O/U 5.5soccer · totals	Under	won	92¢ · -1105	$100	+9
2026-11-06	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala