Public evidence record

Erickaguilar

0xfb20c7b499b536121fc3cbe8aa6256cbf2ca3b5c

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology
Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 8, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Cumulative returnUnits normalized to the average position
Oldest settled position120 points shownMost recent

Sample-adjusted return

+19.1%878 settled positions

Closing line value

-2.97%93 pre-event fills

Beat the close

+27%93 pre-event fills

Settlement record

144-67Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: +11.4% to +26.8%

878 settled positions · 4,388 taker fills · $227,929 deployed

Closing line value measured over 93 pre-event fills · 29% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

SettledOutcomeEntry (implied)CostResult
2026-08-07exited77% · -335$308+4
2026-08-07exited86% · -614$860−20
2026-08-07exited80% · -400$200+50
2026-08-07won58% · -141$1,100+416
2026-08-07exited64% · -178$100+56
2026-08-07won99% · -8001$600−29
2026-08-07exited92% · -1143$200+17
2026-08-07lost90% · -900$200−167
2026-08-07exited75% · -300$3,000+970
2026-08-06lost98% · -4900$400−400
2026-08-06won87% · -669$200+29
2026-08-06won99% · -8977$300+3
2026-08-06won93% · -1329$200+15
2026-08-06won94% · -1567$200+13
2026-08-06lost34% · +194$900−900
2026-08-06lost44% · +128$1,000−1,000
2026-08-06lost68% · -212$200−200
2026-08-06lost22% · +355$200−190
2026-08-06exited91% · -1011$100+10
2026-08-05exited37% · +172$194+331
2026-08-05won88% · -730$200+27
2026-08-05exited89% · -843$99+11
2026-08-05lost29% · +245$150−16
2026-08-05lost35% · +186$100−100
2026-08-05won22% · +359$375+989
2026-08-05won88% · -733$300+38
2026-08-05lost44% · +127$200−200
2026-08-04won97% · -3233$200+4
2026-08-04won75% · -300$2,000+532
2026-08-04exited78% · -355$200−38
2026-08-04won79% · -376$200+53
2026-08-04won88% · -733$300+38
2026-08-04lost86% · -614$100−100
2026-08-04won96% · -2400$100+4
2026-08-04won82% · -456$150+33
2026-08-03won84% · -525$100+19
2026-08-03exited88% · -733$176+2
2026-08-03exited92% · -1156$800+61
2026-08-03exited99% · -9900$200+2
2026-08-03won76% · -317$300+94
2026-08-03exited88% · -733$88+12
2026-08-03won83% · -488$1,000+182
2026-08-02won96% · -2400$200+6
2026-08-02won83% · -488$500+100
2026-08-01won63% · -170$200+117
2026-08-01exited78% · -355$400+112
2026-08-01exited39% · +156$300+450
2026-07-31exited41% · +145$291−93
2026-07-31exited77% · -333$100+30
2026-07-31exited35% · +183$260+327
2026-07-30won78% · -355$100+19
2026-07-30exited63% · -170$200+117
2026-07-30exited69% · -223$400+114
2026-07-30won60% · -150$400−113
2026-07-30won83% · -488$500+88
2026-07-30lost90% · -900$200−81
2026-07-30exited88% · -733$26+2
2026-07-29exited78% · -355$200
2026-07-29exited80% · -400$100−40
2026-07-29exited34% · +198$97−21
2026-07-29exited48% · +108$390−132
2026-07-28exited40% · +150$200+135
2026-07-28exited73% · -270$73+27
2026-07-28exited79% · -365$314+0
2026-07-28exited64% · -178$3,000+1,020
2026-07-27exited68% · -212$272−4
2026-07-27exited88% · -700$700+352
2026-07-27exited96% · -2400$173+7
2026-07-26exited71% · -245$200+81
2026-07-25exited21% · +378$30+12
2026-07-25exited63% · -170$200+117
2026-07-25exited83% · -488$166+22
2026-07-25exited50% · -100$100+62
2026-07-25exited50% · -100$150+103
2026-07-25won76% · -309$200−15
2026-07-24won63% · -170$200+75
2026-07-24exited90% · -913$721+8
2026-07-24lost56% · -125$888
2026-07-24exited58% · -138$6−4
2026-07-24exited80% · -400$200+50
2026-07-23lost66% · -194$290−290
2026-07-23exited49% · +104$109
2026-07-23exited87% · -655$347
2026-07-23exited75% · -300$180+60
2026-07-23exited36% · +175$194+335
2026-07-23lost23% · +335$500−500
2026-07-22exited82% · -456$99+21
2026-07-22lost58% · -138$200−0
2026-07-22won94% · -1557$200+13
2026-07-22exited84% · -525$168+228
2026-07-21exited91% · -1011$200+20
2026-07-21lost81% · -426$12−12
2026-07-21won89% · -809$200+25
2026-07-20exited78% · -344$310+147
2026-07-20won76% · -324$400+123
2026-07-20exited80% · -400$500+124
2026-07-19won93% · -1265$480+38
2026-07-19won33% · +201$950
2026-07-19won58% · -138$1,000+708
2026-07-19won70% · -233$500+214