Public evidence record

0xfc08…a137

0xfc0847fe2ea938d6e2624650eb29ef8d8142a137

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+6.5%1,770 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+4.2%$4,008,691 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.95%5,486 pre-event fills

Settlement record

865-744Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−7.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,770 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: +4.6% to +8.3%

1,770 closed positions · 23,544 taker fills · $4,008,691 deployed

Typical position $459 (median) · closing line value measured over 5,486 pre-event fills · 9% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$7

Senators vs. Ducks

Ducks

entry 47¢ · +113now 96¢ · -2122+48.5 pts

Open

value$1

Eagles vs. Commanders

Commanders

entry 59¢ · -144now 72¢ · -251+12.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Hockey789 closed380–325+9.7%
Baseball754 closed369–316+2.7%
Football209 closed108–96-2.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Jaguars vs. Ravensfootball · moneyline	Jaguars	won	80¢ · -407	$9,492	+205
2026-11-06	Ducks vs. Oilershockey · moneyline	Ducks	won	48¢ · +108	$11	+4
2026-11-06	Golden Knights vs. Red Wingshockey · moneyline	Red Wings	lost	51¢ · -104	$5	−5
2026-11-06	Hurricanes vs. Islandershockey · moneyline	Islanders	lost	21¢ · +376	$1	−1