Public evidence record

iohihoo

0xfc81760d44a21acc9fd4b749a5bf9a9b2eeae072

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.5%588 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+0.6%$29,054 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.42%1,464 pre-event fills

Settlement record

187-119-269Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−26.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 588 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.2% to +0.1%

588 closed positions · 3,144 taker fills · $29,054 deployed

Typical position $31 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,464 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

8 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$320

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

No

entry 78¢ · -349now 99¢+21.6 pts

Open

value$153

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

No

entry 60¢ · -147now 91¢ · -1011+31.4 pts

Open

value$42

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?

No

entry 83¢ · -488now 69¢ · -223−14.0 pts

Open

value$67

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Yes

entry 74¢ · -292now 84¢ · -506+9.0 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis315 closed16–27–269-1.9%
Basketball67 closed43–23-2.7%
Hockey65 closed47–18-3.0%
Soccer64 closed42–15-7.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 92 sports · 8 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-08-25	Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?Non-sports	Yes	won	93¢ · -1436	$4,649	—
2026-08-23	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 0.5soccer · totals	Over	won	62¢ · -162	$75	+44
2026-08-22	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Non-sports	No	won	35¢ · +184	$120	+171
2026-08-21	Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5