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Public evidence record
0xfd3f5bee57b7ee729ebb63c99e25486f7232a8bd
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-2.3%988 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-0.9%$80,004 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-0.86%992 pre-event fillsSettlement record
566-417-2Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−29.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 988 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.7% to +3.0%
988 closed positions · 1,136 taker fills · $80,004 deployed
Typical position $66 (median) · closing line value measured over 992 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Colts vs. Chiefsfootball · moneyline | Chiefs | won | 72¢ · -257 | $126 | +49 |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: No — Bijan Robinson: Anytime Touchdown + Yes — Jonathon Brooks: Anytime Touchdownfootball · combo | — | lost | 25¢ · +300 | $46 | −46 |
| 2026-09-20 | Panthers vs. Falconsfootball · moneyline | Panthers | won | 57¢ · -133 | $190 | +143 |
| 2026-09-20 | Packers vs. Jetsfootball · moneyline |
| Packers |
| won |
| 62¢ · -163 |
| $113 |
| +69 |
| 2026-09-19 | Bengals vs. Texansfootball · moneyline | Bengals | won | 43¢ · +133 | $323 | +428 |
| 2026-09-19 | Florida vs. Auburnfootball · moneyline | Florida | won | 55¢ · -122 | $47 | +38 |
| 2026-09-18 | North Dakota State vs. Sacramento Statefootball · moneyline | North Dakota State | won | 96¢ · -2339 | $378 | +15 |
| 2026-09-17 | Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dreambasketball · moneyline | Atlanta Dream | won | 92¢ · -1165 | $266 | +22 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $48 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Louisiana Tech vs. Baylorfootball · moneyline | Baylor | won | 90¢ · -900 | $131 | +14 |
| 2026-09-15 | Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)baseball · spreads | Philadelphia Phillies | lost | 86¢ · -614 | $69 | −69 |
| 2026-09-15 | Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)baseball · spreads | New York Yankees | won | 84¢ · -525 | $64 | +12 |
| 2026-09-14 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Metsbaseball · moneyline | Baltimore Orioles | won | 43¢ · +133 | $86 | +108 |
| 2026-09-13 | Spread: Cowboys (-13.5)football · spreads | Giants | won | 81¢ · -426 | $102 | +23 |
| 2026-09-13 | Portland Fire vs. Golden State Valkyriesbasketball · moneyline | Golden State Valkyries | won | 87¢ · -692 | $51 | +7 |
| 2026-09-13 | Commanders vs. Eaglesfootball · moneyline | Eagles | won | 70¢ · -233 | $56 | +23 |
| 2026-09-13 | Falcons vs. Steelersfootball · moneyline | Steelers | won | 73¢ · -270 | $66 | +23 |
| 2026-09-10 | 49ers vs. Ramsfootball · moneyline | Rams | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $34 | −34 |
| 2026-09-10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Oklahoma vs. Michiganfootball · moneyline | Michigan | won | 33¢ · +203 | $21 | +41 |
| 2026-09-08 | Will Philadelphia Union vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $8 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | Louisville vs. Ole Missfootball · moneyline | Ole Miss | won | 70¢ · -233 | $43 | +18 |
| 2026-08-31 | San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · moneyline | Atlanta Braves | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $121 | −121 |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open WTA: Thea Frodin vs Elena Rybakinatennis · moneyline | Elena Rybakina | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $271 | +25 |
| 2026-08-28 | Jacksonville State vs. North Dakota State Bison · Spread North Dakota State Bison (-7.5)football · spreads | North Dakota State Bison | won | 45¢ · +122 | $12 | +14 |
| 2026-08-28 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Toronto Blue Jays | won | 72¢ · -252 | $108 | +41 |
| 2026-08-14 | Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Seattle Mariners | lost | 66¢ · -192 | $96 | −96 |
| 2026-08-13 | Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Philadelphia Phillies | won | 67¢ · -203 | $92 | +43 |
| 2026-08-11 | Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Toronto Blue Jays | won | 69¢ · -223 | $104 | +44 |
| 2026-08-09 | Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)baseball · spreads | Philadelphia Phillies | won | 84¢ · -525 | $291 | +53 |
| 2026-08-07 | Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Houston Astros | won | 66¢ · -194 | $94 | +46 |
| 2026-08-06 | Panthers vs. Cardinals: O/U 34.5football · totals | Over | won | 48¢ · +108 | $34 | +36 |
| 2026-08-05 | Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Kansas City Royals | won | 65¢ · -186 | $86 | +44 |
| 2026-08-04 | Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)baseball · spreads | Toronto Blue Jays | lost | 73¢ · -270 | $176 | −176 |
| 2026-08-01 | Minnesota United FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 83¢ · -488 | $113 | +22 |
| 2026-07-29 | New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbasketball · moneyline | New York Liberty | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $98 | −98 |
| 2026-07-26 | Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 76¢ · -317 | $381 | +114 |
| 2026-07-25 | Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 87¢ · -661 | $137 | +20 |
| 2026-07-25 | Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5basketball · totals | Under | won | 50¢ · -100 | $22 | +21 |
| 2026-07-24 | Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-07-25?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 73¢ · -270 | $373 | — |
| 2026-07-24 | Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | lost | 71¢ · -245 | $133 | −133 |
| 2026-07-23 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbaseball · moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $28 | −28 |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 82¢ · -452 | $212 | +45 |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 90¢ · -860 | $482 | +53 |
| 2026-07-19 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 57¢ · -135 | $64 | — |
| 2026-07-18 | France vs. England: Team to Winsoccer · soccer team to advance | England | won | 34¢ · +194 | $18 | +34 |
| 2026-07-17 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsbaseball · nrfi | Yes | won | 57¢ · -133 | $26 | +19 |
| 2026-07-16 | Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Philadelphia Phillies | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $87 | −87 |
| 2026-07-14 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornerssoccer · total corners | Over | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $19 | −19 |
| 2026-07-14 | Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempobasketball · moneyline | Washington Mystics | won | 53¢ · -113 | $13 | +11 |
| 2026-07-14 | France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornerssoccer · soccer first half total corners | Under | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $12 | −12 |
| 2026-07-13 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbasketball · moneyline | Minnesota Lynx | won | 87¢ · -669 | $103 | +15 |
| 2026-07-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $236 | −236 |
| 2026-07-12 | Will the fight be won by submission?mma · ufc method of victory | No | won | 91¢ · -973 | $142 | +14 |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 79¢ · -371 | $87 | +22 |
| 2026-07-11 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Max Holloway | won | 73¢ · -270 | $63 | +22 |
| 2026-07-11 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 43¢ · +131 | $29 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)basketball · spreads | Seattle Storm | won | 46¢ · +117 | $16 | +18 |
| 2026-07-09 | Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 84¢ · -535 | $61 | +11 |
| 2026-07-09 | France vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 88¢ · -716 | $79 | +11 |
| 2026-07-09 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $9 | −9 |
| 2026-07-09 | Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 53¢ · -113 | $81 | +69 |
| 2026-07-08 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $38 | −38 |
| 2026-07-08 | Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFirebasketball · moneyline | Las Vegas Aces | won | 77¢ · -335 | $176 | +51 |
| 2026-07-08 | Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornerssoccer · total corners | Under | won | 52¢ · -108 | $40 | +36 |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornerssoccer · total corners | Over | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $38 | −38 |
| 2026-07-07 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 60¢ · -150 | $51 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 66¢ · -194 | $175 | — |
| 2026-06-29 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 60¢ · -150 | $122 | — |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 75¢ · -300 | $63 | +20 |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 81¢ · -426 | $87 | +20 |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 59¢ · -144 | $33 | +22 |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Canada | won | 74¢ · -285 | $167 | +57 |
| 2026-06-27 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 65¢ · -186 | $66 | +35 |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama vs. England: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 59¢ · -144 | $31 | +21 |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | lost | 67¢ · -208 | $44 | −44 |
| 2026-06-27 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 53¢ · -113 | $45 | — |
| 2026-06-27 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 74¢ · -285 | $268 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $17 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $47 | −47 |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 88¢ · -706 | $153 | +21 |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-06-25 | Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 92¢ · -1148 | $130 | +11 |
| 2026-06-24 | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 82¢ · -456 | $110 | +24 |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 72¢ · -257 | $57 | +21 |
| 2026-06-24 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $116 | — |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 82¢ · -456 | $40 | +9 |
| 2026-06-24 | Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 87¢ · -669 | $60 | +9 |
| 2026-06-24 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbasketball · moneyline | Minnesota Lynx | won | 79¢ · -376 | $121 | +31 |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 56¢ · -127 | $27 | +21 |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | won | 80¢ · -400 | $82 | +20 |
| 2026-06-23 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $70 | — |
| 2026-06-22 | Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | lost | 63¢ · -170 | $115 | −115 |
| 2026-06-22 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 41¢ · +144 | $99 | — |
| 2026-06-20 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $146 | −146 |
| 2026-06-20 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 60¢ · -150 | $32 | — |
| 2026-06-20 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 70¢ · -233 | $214 | — |
| 2026-06-19 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 54¢ · -117 | $75 | — |
| 2026-06-19 | Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 72¢ · -257 | $154 | +58 |