Public evidence record

Snufkin51

0xfd3f5bee57b7ee729ebb63c99e25486f7232a8bd

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.7%1,072 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+0.6%$90,353 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.84%1,190 pre-event fills

Settlement record

617-450-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−28.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,072 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.8% to +2.4%

1,072 closed positions · 1,232 taker fills · $90,353 deployed

Typical position $67 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,190 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

4 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$503

Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

No

entry 90¢ · -917now 88¢ · -766−1.7 pts

Open

value$529

Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?

No

entry 93¢ · -1436now 95¢ · -1735+1.1 pts

Open

value$251

Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?

No

entry 92¢ · -1148now 88¢ · -700−4.5 pts

Open

value$181

Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?

No

entry 89¢ · -809now 91¢ · -953+1.5 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball446 closed255–189-3.5%
Football199 closed123–75–1-2.9%
Hockey179 closed90–88-4.3%
Baseball178 closed99–79-4.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-05	Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)football · spreads	Jaguars	won	50¢ · -100	$85	+82
2026-11-05	Jaguars vs. Ravensfootball · moneyline	Jaguars	won	80¢ · -400	$28	+7
2026-11-03	Utah vs. Maple Leafshockey · moneyline	Maple Leafs	lost	43¢ · +133	$28	−28
2026-11-02	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)football · spreads