Public evidence record

PolyDegener

0xfe2be179d7916a5a1311bf212fa9fbfc720451de

Not ranked. median stake under $25 (typical position $23.66). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.3%901 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.4%$28,131 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.95%1,084 pre-event fills

Settlement record

346-423-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−54.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 901 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.5% to -1.1%

901 closed positions · 1,979 taker fills · $28,131 deployed

Typical position $24 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,084 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball319 closed145–146-6.0%
Basketball158 closed35–70-7.5%
Soccer126 closed52–65-7.6%
MMA101 closed41–45–1-0.1%
Esports100 closed45–48-3.5%
Hockey69 closed23–30-3.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 96 sports · 4 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Combo: Over — MIN vs. CHI: O/U 46.5 + Panthers — Panthers vs. Falcons + Packers — Packers vs. Jets + Texans — Bengals vs. Texansfootball · combo	—	lost	11¢ · +832	$13	−13
2026-09-20	Panthers vs. Falconsfootball · moneyline	Panthers	won	54¢ · -117	$51	+41
2026-09-20	Bengals vs. Texansfootball · moneyline	Texans	lost	58¢ · -138	$25	−25
2026-09-20	Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 41.5