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Public evidence record
0xfe2be179d7916a5a1311bf212fa9fbfc720451de
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-5.7%940 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-5.0%$29,074 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.07%1,158 pre-event fillsSettlement record
369-438-1Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−56.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 940 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.8% to -0.6%
940 closed positions · 2,026 taker fills · $29,074 deployed
Typical position $23 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,158 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 97 sports · 3 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-12 | Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5football · receiving yards | Over | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-10-12 | Kyren Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5football · rushing yards | Over | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-10-12 | James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 |
| Over |
| won |
| 48¢ · +109 |
| $20 |
| +21 |
| 2026-10-12 | Blake Corum: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5football · rushing yards | Over | lost | 57¢ · -132 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-10-12 | Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5football · receiving yards | Over | won | 60¢ · -149 | $20 | +13 |
| 2026-10-11 | Lions vs. Cardinalsfootball · moneyline | Lions | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $20 | +19 |
| 2026-10-11 | Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)football · spreads | 49ers | won | 57¢ · -133 | $25 | +14 |
| 2026-10-11 | Spread: Commanders (-3.5)football · spreads | Giants | won | 52¢ · -109 | $46 | +11 |
| 2026-10-07 | Spread: Vikings (-1.5)football · spreads | Vikings | won | 52¢ · -110 | $20 | +18 |
| 2026-10-07 | Bills vs. Rams · Spread Rams (-2.5)football · spreads | Rams | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $46 | −21 |
| 2026-10-07 | Bucky Irving: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5football · rushing yards | Over | won | 56¢ · -126 | $15 | +12 |
| 2026-10-07 | Chris Godwin Jr.: Receptions O/U 3.5football · receptions | Over | lost | 46¢ · +118 | $15 | −15 |
| 2026-10-07 | Spread: Broncos (-2.5)football · spreads | Broncos | won | 57¢ · -133 | $30 | +22 |
| 2026-10-05 | Browns vs. Jetsfootball · moneyline | Browns | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-10-05 | Vikings vs. Saintsfootball · moneyline | Vikings | won | 53¢ · -113 | $15 | +13 |
| 2026-10-05 | Juwan Johnson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5football · receiving yards | Over | won | 40¢ · +150 | $15 | +23 |
| 2026-10-05 | Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5football · rushing yards | Over | won | 50¢ · +101 | $10 | +10 |
| 2026-10-05 | Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5football · rushing yards | Over | won | 59¢ · -144 | $20 | +14 |
| 2026-10-05 | Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)football · spreads | Chiefs | won | 56¢ · -127 | $20 | +16 |
| 2026-10-04 | Spread: Rams (-2.5)football · spreads | Rams | won | 61¢ · -156 | $51 | +25 |
| 2026-10-04 | Spread: Bears (-2.5)football · spreads | Bears | won | 58¢ · -138 | $30 | +19 |
| 2026-10-04 | Jaguars vs. Bengalsfootball · moneyline | Jaguars | won | 43¢ · +133 | $31 | +30 |
| 2026-10-04 | Combo: Johnny Walker — UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) + Imanol Rodriguez — UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)mma · combo | — | won | 30¢ · +231 | $10 | +22 |
| 2026-10-03 | UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Johnny Walker | won | 52¢ · -108 | $10 | +9 |
| 2026-10-03 | UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Imanol Rodriguez | won | 58¢ · -138 | $12 | +8 |
| 2026-10-03 | Will Damian Pinas win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | won | 63¢ · -172 | $11 | +6 |
| 2026-10-03 | Will Ateba Gautier win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-03 | Will the fight be won by submission?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 19¢ · +436 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-02 | Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5football · rushing yards | Over | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-10-02 | Broncos vs. 49ersfootball · moneyline | 49ers | won | 57¢ · -133 | $41 | +30 |
| 2026-09-22 | LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group Besports · moneyline | Movistar KOI Fénix | won | 49¢ · +104 | $31 | +30 |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: Over — MIN vs. CHI: O/U 46.5 + Panthers — Panthers vs. Falcons + Packers — Packers vs. Jets + Texans — Bengals vs. Texansfootball · combo | — | lost | 11¢ · +832 | $13 | −13 |
| 2026-09-20 | Panthers vs. Falconsfootball · moneyline | Panthers | won | 54¢ · -117 | $51 | +41 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bengals vs. Texansfootball · moneyline | Texans | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-09-20 | Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 41.5football · totals | Over | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $21 | −1 |
| 2026-09-18 | Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)football · spreads | Seahawks | won | 54¢ · -117 | $51 | −6 |
| 2026-09-18 | Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 47.5football · totals | Over | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-09-18 | Combo: Yes — LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs + Yes — Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) + Yes — Games Total: O/U 3.5esports · combo | — | exited | 20¢ · +405 | $33 | +57 |
| 2026-09-17 | Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5football · receiving yards | Over | lost | 58¢ · -139 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 12¢ · +733 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Spread: Packers (-3.5)football · spreads | Packers | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-14 | Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | Yes | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Non-sports | No | lost | 19¢ · +426 | $104 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Spread: Vikings (-3.5)football · spreads | Packers | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $31 | +14 |
| 2026-09-13 | Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5football · receiving yards | Over | won | 46¢ · +117 | $21 | +23 |
| 2026-09-13 | Combo: David Martinez — Noche UFC: Dan Ige vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card) + Yousri Belgaroui — Noche UFC: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Djorden Santos (Middleweight, Prelims) + Ignacio Bahamondes — Noche UFC: Muslim Salikhov vs. Ignacio Bahamondes (Welterweight, Prelims) + Jean Silva — Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | won | 43¢ · +135 | $5 | +6 |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: Tommy McMillen — Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card) + Jean Silva — Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card) + Waldo Cortes Acosta — Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | lost | 30¢ · +235 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: David Martinez — Noche UFC: Dan Ige vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card) + Édgar Cháirez — Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) + Waldo Cortes Acosta — Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | lost | 33¢ · +199 | $15 | −15 |
| 2026-09-11 | Will the fight be won by submission?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-09-11 | Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Brandon Moreno | won | 49¢ · +104 | $5 | +5 |
| 2026-09-11 | Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Alexa Grasso | won | 31¢ · +223 | $10 | +22 |
| 2026-09-11 | Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Rafa Garcia | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-11 | Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Waldo Cortes Acosta | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $15 | −15 |
| 2026-09-11 | Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Tommy McMillen | won | 59¢ · -144 | $15 | +10 |
| 2026-09-10 | Colby Parkinson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5football · receiving yards | Over | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-10 | Combo: Falcons — Falcons vs. Steelers + Bills — Bills vs. Texans + Cardinals — Spread: Chargers (-10.5) + Seahawks — Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) + Eagles — Commanders vs. Eaglesfootball · combo | — | lost | 4¢ · +2226 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-09-10 | Combo: Bills — Bills vs. Texans + Seahawks — Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) + Broncos — Broncos vs. Chiefs + Eagles — Commanders vs. Eagles + Packers — Packers vs. Vikingsfootball · combo | — | lost | 4¢ · +2310 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-09-10 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5)football · spreads | Eagles | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $51 | −41 |
| 2026-09-10 | Broncos vs. Chiefsfootball · moneyline | Broncos | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-10 | California vs. Syracusefootball · moneyline | Syracuse | exited | 62¢ · -163 | $102 | −6 |
| 2026-09-10 | Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)football · spreads | Seahawks | won | 60¢ · -150 | $51 | +31 |
| 2026-09-09 | Spread: Rams (-2.5)football · spreads | Rams | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-09 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 24¢ · +324 | $50 | +10 |
| 2026-09-08 | Packers vs. Vikingsfootball · moneyline | Packers | exited | 49¢ · +104 | $51 | −5 |
| 2026-09-08 | Bills vs. Texansfootball · moneyline | Bills | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $51 | −3 |
| 2026-09-03 | San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · moneyline | Pittsburgh Pirates | won | 61¢ · -156 | $36 | +22 |
| 2026-09-02 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $31 | −16 |
| 2026-09-02 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-09-02 | Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · moneyline | Boston Red Sox | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-09-02 | Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · moneyline | Texas Rangers | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-08-29 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 57¢ · -133 | $20 | +15 |
| 2026-08-29 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels · Spread Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Philadelphia Phillies | won | 52¢ · -108 | $10 | +9 |
| 2026-08-29 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-08-29 | Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves · Spread Atlanta Braves (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Atlanta Braves | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-08-27 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Metsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-08-27 | Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbaseball · moneyline | Baltimore Orioles | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-08-26 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Minnesota Twins (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Minnesota Twins | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $41 | −22 |
| 2026-08-26 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Marinersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $102 | −31 |
| 2026-08-26 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbaseball · nrfi | Yes | won | 43¢ · +133 | $62 | +78 |
| 2026-08-26 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 63¢ · -168 | $51 | −29 |
| 2026-08-26 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · nrfi | No | exited | 61¢ · -156 | $61 | +37 |
| 2026-08-25 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $41 | −41 |
| 2026-08-25 | Combo: Cleveland Guardians — Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels + Philadelphia Phillies — Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners + San Diego Padres — Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres + Minnesota Twins — Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics + Tampa Bay Rays — Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigersbaseball · combo | — | lost | 5¢ · +1728 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-08-25 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · nrfi | No | exited | 55¢ · -122 | $61 | +48 |
| 2026-08-24 | Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-08-24 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 61¢ · -156 | $20 | +12 |
| 2026-08-22 | Combo: Gauge Young — UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims) + Kennedy Nzechukwu — UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | lost | 28¢ · +261 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-08-22 | San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · moneyline | Boston Red Sox | exited | 64¢ · -178 | $20 | +8 |
| 2026-08-21 | UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Jackson McVey | won | 63¢ · -170 | $20 | +11 |
| 2026-08-21 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 61¢ · -156 | $20 | +12 |
| 2026-08-21 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 65¢ · -186 | $20 | +10 |
| 2026-08-21 | Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)esports · map handicap | T1 | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-08-21 | LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupesports · moneyline | T1 | won | 71¢ · -245 | $101 | +39 |
| 2026-08-20 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 59¢ · -142 | $51 | +34 |
| 2026-08-20 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 60¢ · -149 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-08-20 | Will Houston Dash win on 2026-08-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 61¢ · -156 | $10 | — |
| 2026-08-19 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $20 | −2 |
| 2026-08-19 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 56¢ · -127 | $12 | +9 |
| 2026-08-19 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $10 | −10 |