Public evidence record

roon49

0xfed75ac71a6a4313e92d16a9fbef81cf225fe405

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology
Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 8, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Cumulative returnUnits normalized to the average position
Oldest settled position120 points shownMost recent

Sample-adjusted return

+1.0%833 settled positions

Closing line value

Insufficient sample27 pre-event fills

Beat the close

Insufficient sample27 pre-event fills

Settlement record

438-392Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: -4.7% to +6.7%

833 settled positions · 10,469 taker fills · $85,864 deployed

Closing line value measured over 27 pre-event fills · 20% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

SettledOutcomeEntry (implied)CostResult
2026-08-07won51% · -103$74+71
2026-08-07lost59% · -146$45−45
2026-08-07lost39% · +156$6−6
2026-08-07won81% · -417$24+6
2026-08-07won85% · -552$127+23
2026-08-07lost85% · -552$25−25
2026-08-07won91% · -1068$55+5
2026-08-06won85% · -563$110+20
2026-08-06lost22% · +355$2−2
2026-08-06won67% · -199$13+7
2026-08-06lost53% · -115$27−27
2026-08-06won65% · -189$16+9
2026-08-06won75% · -300$23+8
2026-08-06won64% · -174$13+7
2026-08-06won76% · -317$30+10
2026-08-06won77% · -336$100+30
2026-08-06lost24% · +317$2−2
2026-08-06lost44% · +127$4−4
2026-08-06lost40% · +153$8−8
2026-08-06won48% · +109$47+51
2026-08-06lost60% · -153$49−49
2026-08-06won44% · +127$18+22
2026-08-06lost53% · -113$24−24
2026-08-06won92% · -1101$37+3
2026-08-06won59% · -141$59+42
2026-08-06won76% · -319$107+33
2026-08-06won84% · -525$34+6
2026-08-06lost47% · +112$15−15
2026-08-06lost21% · +369$6−6
2026-08-06won83% · -471$17+4
2026-08-06lost39% · +157$35−35
2026-08-06lost35% · +186$4−4
2026-08-05lost13% · +669$1−1
2026-08-05won61% · -156$6+4
2026-08-05lost41% · +144$4−4
2026-08-05won83% · -498$31+6
2026-08-05won81% · -429$195+45
2026-08-05won73% · -266$69+26
2026-08-05lost71% · -246$89−89
2026-08-05won67% · -201$90+45
2026-08-05won56% · -125$83+67
2026-08-05lost66% · -194$312−312
2026-08-05lost18% · +445$6−6
2026-08-05won75% · -295$61+21
2026-08-05lost49% · +105$15−15
2026-08-05won55% · -122$11+9
2026-08-05won87% · -669$52+8
2026-08-05won91% · -953$72+8
2026-08-05lost29% · +245$20−20
2026-08-05won70% · -233$28+12
2026-08-05lost60% · -148$119−119
2026-08-05won69% · -226$87+38
2026-08-05won86% · -606$206+34
2026-08-05lost22% · +355$4−4
2026-08-05lost54% · -117$151−151
2026-08-05lost22% · +362$7−7
2026-08-05won60% · -147$24+16
2026-08-05lost13% · +669$8−8
2026-08-05won81% · -426$16+4
2026-08-05won72% · -253$43+17
2026-08-05lost32% · +212$45−45
2026-08-04won78% · -360$47+13
2026-08-04won85% · -549$85+15
2026-08-04lost25% · +300$5−5
2026-08-04won89% · -799$142+18
2026-08-04lost46% · +117$9−9
2026-08-04lost49% · +105$140−140
2026-08-04lost16% · +525$3−3
2026-08-04lost33% · +204$56−56
2026-08-04won63% · -173$139+81
2026-08-04won72% · -259$119+46
2026-08-04won82% · -456$33+7
2026-08-04won87% · -650$52+8
2026-08-04lost33% · +203$3−3
2026-08-04won55% · -121$44+36
2026-08-04lost77% · -331$219−219
2026-08-03lost44% · +125$22−22
2026-08-02won76% · -316$179+57
2026-08-02lost29% · +247$7−7
2026-08-02won79% · -374$36+10
2026-08-02won76% · -317$15+5
2026-08-02lost38% · +163$8−8
2026-08-02won77% · -329$165+50
2026-08-02lost46% · +117$18−18
2026-08-02won89% · -809$125+15
2026-08-02lost29% · +248$23−23
2026-08-02won85% · -559$123+22
2026-08-02lost24% · +319$33−33
2026-08-02lost47% · +113$31−31
2026-08-02won93% · -1329$19+1
2026-08-02won61% · -156$12+8
2026-08-02won67% · -203$27+13
2026-08-02lost41% · +143$58−58
2026-08-02won69% · -219$158+72
2026-08-02lost36% · +179$65−65
2026-08-02won31% · +223$19+41
2026-08-02won85% · -576$85+15
2026-08-02won82% · -445$49+11
2026-08-02lost31% · +228$37−37
2026-08-02lost48% · +108$87−87