Public evidence record

roon49

0xfed75ac71a6a4313e92d16a9fbef81cf225fe405

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-13.6%3,177 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.4%$370,257 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.86%1,012 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1624-1541-10Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−109.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 3,177 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -16.8% to -10.4%

3,177 closed positions · 22,034 taker fills · $370,257 deployed

Typical position $38 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,012 pre-event fills · 11% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball2,870 closed1479–1389-13.4%
Tennis176 closed82–88–6-8.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Will Club León FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	No	won	64¢ · -177	$101	—
2026-09-21	Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	No	lost	55¢ · -122	$22	—
2026-09-21	Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)baseball · spreads	Milwaukee Brewers	won	56¢ · -127	$11	+9
2026-09-21	Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)baseball · spreads	Milwaukee Brewers	won