Public evidence record

roon49

0xfed75ac71a6a4313e92d16a9fbef81cf225fe405

Not ranked. median stake under $25 (typical position $22.00). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-11.4%9,292 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.9%$604,928 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.64%1,331 pre-event fills

Settlement record

4443-4837-10Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−237.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 9,292 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.5% to -9.4%

9,292 closed positions · 59,124 taker fills · $604,928 deployed

Typical position $22 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,331 pre-event fills · 5% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball3,424 closed1745–1677-12.4%
Soccer2,444 closed1104–1340-8.0%
Football1,491 closed638–851–2-13.6%
Hockey1,208 closed612–596-9.7%
Basketball534 closed255–279-10.5%
Tennis176 closed82–88–6-9.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Sydney FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score	No	lost	52¢ · -107	$102	−102
2026-11-06	Sydney FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC · Spread Sydney FC (-2.5)soccer · spreads	Sydney FC	won	28¢ · +255	$29	+71
2026-11-06	Sydney FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC · Spread Sydney FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads	Sydney FC	won	46¢ · +116	$38	+42
2026-11-06	Predators vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5hockey · totals	Under	won